基于多源数据与多维影响因素的岩石节理残余剪切强度预测模型

    Residual shear strength prediction model for rock joints based on multi-source data and multi-dimensional influencing factors

    • 摘要: 节理残余剪切强度是评估岩体长期稳定性的关键参数。为解决现有预测模型存在的影响因素考虑不全面及模型验证数据量较少等问题,通过开展红砂岩节理剪切试验和既有研究分析,系统总结出8个多维度的关键影响因素,并收集不同岩性的节理试验数据构建了包含630组数据的多源数据集。采用机器学习方法训练了三种支持向量回归模型和一种深度学习模型,建立了残余剪切强度与影响因素之间的非线性关系。基于包含不同岩性节理试验结果的数据集,采用四种机器学习模型与传统模型中的Ban模型和彭勃模型对比。结果表明,机器学习模型的预测精度均高于Ban模型和彭勃模型,其中深度学习模型的精度最高,预测误差仅8.09%,表明机器学习模型在不同岩性条件下均具备良好的预测能力。采用红砂岩剪切试验结果进行模型验证,进一步证明了机器学习预测模型的有效性。

       

      Abstract: The residual shear strength of rock joints is a critical parameter for assessing the long-term stability of rock masses. To address the issues of insufficient consideration of influencing factors and limited validation data in existing prediction models, this study systematically identified eight multi-dimensional key influencing factors through red sandstone joint shear tests and analysis of existing research. A multi-source dataset comprising 630 sets of test data was constructed by collecting joint test data of different lithologies. Using machine learning methods, three support vector regression (SVR) models and one deep learning (DL) model were developed to capture the nonlinear relationship between residual shear strength and the key influencing factors. Based on a dataset comprising joint shear test results from different lithologies, four machine learning models were compared with the Ban and Peng models. The results indicate that all machine learning models exhibit higher prediction accuracy than the Ban and Peng models, with the DL model achieving the best performance and a prediction error of only 8.09%. This demonstrates that the machine learning models possess strong predictive capability under varying lithological conditions. Model validation using the results of red sandstone shear tests further confirms the effectiveness of the machine learning prediction model.

       

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