• 全国中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 美国工程索引(EI)收录期刊
  • Scopus数据库收录期刊
LI Shao-hong, WANG Shao-yang, ZHU Jian-dong, LI Bu, YANG Jie, WU Li-zhou. Prediction of rock burst tendency based on weighted fusion and improved cloud model[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2018, 40(6): 1075-1083. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201806013
Citation: LI Shao-hong, WANG Shao-yang, ZHU Jian-dong, LI Bu, YANG Jie, WU Li-zhou. Prediction of rock burst tendency based on weighted fusion and improved cloud model[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2018, 40(6): 1075-1083. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201806013

Prediction of rock burst tendency based on weighted fusion and improved cloud model

More Information
  • Received Date: March 31, 2017
  • Published Date: June 24, 2018
  • Prediction of rock burst tendency is one of the basic tasks of disaster prevention and reduction in underground engineering. In view of the existing mathematical models, there are some shortages in the necessary inspection process determining the comprehensive weight of the rock burst index, and there is low accuracy for predicting the rock burst. An improved cloud model for predicting rock bursts is proposed. The improved model is fused with the index weight through cloud atomization conditions in the cloud theory. And the comprehensive weight of the index after the test is obtained. By modifying the standard cloud model and generating the hierarchical integrated cloud by comprehensive cloud algorithm, the deficiencies that the standard cloud model is too sensitive to the average grade range are made up. A number of rock burst examples are used to verify the proposed model. The results show that a more reasonable comprehensive weight can be obtained using the weight fusion method based on the cloud theory. The improved model can be well applied to the prediction of rock burst tendency.
  • [1]
    陈鹏宇, 余宏明, 师华鹏. 基于权重反分析和标准化模糊综合评价的岩爆预测模型[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2014, 33(10): 2154-2160.
    (CHENG Peng-yu, YU Hong-ming, SHI Hua-peng.Prediction model for rockburst based on weighted back analysis and standardized fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2014, 33(10): 2154-2160. (in Chinese))
    [2]
    贾义鹏, 吕庆, 尚岳全, 等. 基于证据理论的岩爆预测[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2014, 36(6): 1079-1086.
    (JIA Yi-peng, LÜ Qing, SHANG Yue-quan, et al.Rockburst prediction based on evidence theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2014, 36(6): 1079-1086. (in Chinese))
    [3]
    白云飞, 邓建, 董陇军, 等. 深部硬岩岩爆预测的 FDA 模型及其应用[J]. 中南大学学报(自然科学版), 2009, 40(5): 1417-1422.
    (BAI Yun-fei, DENG Jian, DONG Long-jun, et al.Fisher discriminant analysis model of rock burst prediction and its application in deep hard rock engineering[J]. Journal of Central South University (Science and Technology), 2009, 40(5): 1417-1422. (in Chinese))
    [4]
    刘磊磊, 张绍和, 王晓密, 等. 变权靶心贴近度在岩爆烈度预测中的应用[J]. 爆炸与冲击, 2015, 35(1): 43-50.
    (LIU Lei-lei, ZHANG Shao-he, WANG Xiao-mi, et al.Application of target approaching with variable weight in prediction of rockburst intensity[J]. Explosion and Shock Waves, 2015, 35(1): 43-50. (in Chinese))
    [5]
    王元汉, 李卧东, 李启光, 等. 岩爆预测的模糊数学综合评判方法[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 1998, 17(5): 493-501.
    (WANG Yuan-han, LI Wo-dong, LI Qi-guang, et al.Method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluations for rockburst prediction[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 1998, 17(5): 493-501. (in Chinese))
    [6]
    王迎超, 尚岳全, 孙红月, 等. 基于熵权–理想点法的岩爆烈度预测模型及其应用[J]. 煤炭学报, 2010, 35(2): 218-221.
    (WANG Ying-chao, SHANG Yue-quan, SUN Hong-yue, et al.Research and application of rockburst intensity prediction model based on entropy coefficient and ideal point method[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2010, 35(2): 218-221. (in Chinese))
    [7]
    史秀志, 周健, 董蕾, 等. 未确知测度模型在岩爆烈度分级预测中的应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2010, 29(增刊1): 2720-2726.
    (SHI Xiu-zhi, ZHOU Jian, DONG Lei, et al.Application of unascertained measurement model to prediction of classification of rockburst intensity[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2010, 29(S1): 2720-2726. (in Chinese))
    [8]
    熊孝波, 桂国庆, 许建聪, 等. 可拓工程方法在地下工程岩爆预测中的应用[J]. 解放军理工大学学报 (自然科学版), 2007, 8(6): 695-701.
    (XIONG Xiao-bo, DU Guo-qing, XU Jian-cong, et al.Application of extension method to prediction of rockburst of underground engineering[J]. Journal of PLA University of Science and Technology (Natural Science Edition), 2007, 8(6): 695-701. (in Chinese))
    [9]
    胡建华, 尚俊龙, 周科平. 岩爆烈度预测的改进物元可拓模型与实例分析[J]. 中国有色金属学报, 2013, 23(2): 495-502.
    (HU Jian-hua, SHANG Jun-long, ZHOU Ke-ping.Improved matter-element extension model and its application to prediction of rockburst intensity[J]. The Chinese Journal of Nonferrous Metals, 2013, 23(2): 495-502. (in Chinese))
    [10]
    周宣赤, 白春华, 王仲琦, 等. 粒子群投影寻踪算法在岩爆预测中的应用[J]. 上海交通大学学报, 2012, 46(12): 1956-1961.
    (ZHOU Xuan-chi, BAI Chun-hua, WANG Zhong-qi, et al.Application of Projection Pursuit model and Particle Swarm Optimization in rock burst prediction[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 2012, 46(12): 1956-1961. (in Chinese))
    [11]
    裴启涛, 李海波, 刘亚群, 等. 基于组合赋权的岩爆倾向性预测灰评估模型及应用[J]. 岩土力学, 2014, 35(增刊1): 49-56.
    (PEI Qi-tao, LI Hai-bo, LIU Ya-qun, et al.A grey evaluation model for predicting rockburst proneness based on combination weight and its application[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2014, 35(S1): 49-56. (in Chinese))
    [12]
    王迎超, 靖洪文, 张强, 等. 基于正态云模型的深埋地下工程岩爆烈度分级预测研究[J]. 岩土力学, 2015, 36(4): 1189-1194.
    (WANG Ying-chao, JING Hong-wen, ZHANG Qiang, et al.A normal cloud model-based study of grading prediction of rockburst intensity in deep underground engineering[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2015, 36(4): 1189-1194. (in Chinese))
    [13]
    周科平, 林允, 胡建华, 等. 基于熵权-正态云模型的岩爆烈度分级预测研究[J]. 岩土力学, 2016, 37(增刊1): 596-602.
    (ZHOU Ke-ping, LIN Yun, HU Jian-hua, et al.Grading prediction of rockburst intensity based on Entropy and normal cloud model[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2016, 37(S1): 596-602. (in Chinese))
    [14]
    李健, 汪明武, 徐鹏, 等. 基于云模型的围岩稳定性分类[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2014, 36(1): 83-87.
    (LI Jian, WANG Ming-wu, XU Peng, et al.Classification of stability of surrounding rock using cloud model[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2014, 36(1): 83-87. (in Chinese))
    [15]
    胡石元, 李德仁, 刘耀林, 等. 体现主客观信息的土地定级因素综合集成赋权法研究[J]. 武汉大学学报(信息科学版), 2006, 31(8): 695-699.
    (HU Shi-yuan, LI De-ren, LIU Yao-lin, et al.Determination and integration of subjective weights and objective weights of land grading factors[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2006, 31(8): 695-699. (in Chinese))
    [16]
    王坚强, 刘淘. 基于综合云的不确定语言多准则群决策方法[J]. 控制与决策, 2012, 27(8): 1185-1190.
    (WANG Jian-qiang, LIU Tao.Uncertain linguistic multi-criteria group decision-making approach based on integrated cloud[J]. Control and Decision, 2012, 27(8): 1185-1190. (in Chinese))
    [17]
    樊敏, 刘耀林, 吴艳娟, 等. 基于云模型的土地整理生态影响评价研究[J]. 武汉大学学报(信息科学版), 2008, 33(9): 986-989.
    (FAN Min, LIU Yao-lin, WU Yan-juan, et al.Ecological impact evaluation for land consolidation based on cloud model[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2008, 33(9): 986-989. (in Chinese))
    [18]
    周剑, 朱耀琴, 柴旭东, 等. 基于云模型与证据理论的共识分析方法[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2012, 32(12): 2756-2763.
    (ZHOU Jian, ZHU Yao-qin, CHAI Xue-dong, et al.Approach for analyzing consensus based on cloud model and evidence theory[J]. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2012, 32(12): 2756-2763. (in Chinese))
    [19]
    TURCHANINOV I A, MARKOV G A.Conditions of changing of extra-hard rock into weak rock under the influence of tectonic stresses of massifs[J]. International Society for Rock Mechanics, 1981:555-559.
    [20]
    HOEK E, BROWN E T.Underground exavation in rock[M]. London: Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, 1980.
    [21]
    KIDYBIŃSKI A. Bursting liability indices of coal[J]. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences and Geomechanics Abstracts, 1981, 18(4): 295-304.
    [22]
    刘禹, 李德毅. 正态云模型雾化性质统计分析[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2010, 36(11): 1320-1324.
    (LIU Yu, LI De-yi.Statistics on atomized feature of normal cloud model[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2010, 36(11): 1320-1324. (in Chinese))
    [23]
    周科平, 雷涛, 胡建华. 深部金属矿山 RS-TOPSIS 岩爆预测模型及其应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2013, 32(增刊2): 3705-3711.
    (ZHOU Ke-ping, LEI Tao, HU Jian-hua.RS-TOPSIS model of rockburst prediction in deep metal mines and its application[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2013, 32(S2): 3705-3711. (in Chinese))
    [24]
    曾杰, 张永兴, 靳晓光. 岩爆预测的最大熵最优相对隶属度方法[J]. 土木建筑与环境工程, 2011, 33(1): 93-97.
    (ZENG Jie, ZHANG Yong-xing, JIN Xiao-guang.Prediction of rock burst using the method of optimal relative membership degree based on the maximum entropy principle[J]. Journal of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering, 2011, 33(1): 93-97. (in Chinese))
    [25]
    张乐文, 张德永, 邱道宏. 基于粗糙集的可拓评判在岩爆预测中的应用[J]. 煤炭学报, 2010, 35(9): 1461-1465.
    (ZHANG Le-wen, ZHANG De-yong, QIU Dao-hong.Application of extension evaluation method in rockburst prediction based on rough set theory[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2010, 35(9): 1461-1465. (in Chinese))
    [26]
    沈进昌, 杜树新, 罗祎, 等. 基于云模型的模糊综合评价方法及应用[J]. 模糊系统与数学, 2012, 26(6): 115-123.
    (SHEN Jin-chang, DU Shu-xin, LUO Yi, et al.Method and application research on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation based on cloud model[J]. Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics, 2012, 26(6): 115-123. (in Chinese))
    [27]
    朱曼, 文元桥, 肖长诗, 等. 船舶通航适应性综合评价的云模型研究[J]. 武汉理工大学学报, 2013, 35(7): 63-68.
    (ZHU Man, WEN Yuan-qiao, XIAO Chang-shi, et al.Comprehensive evaluation of LNG Ship’s traffic adaptability based on cloud model[J]. Journal of Wuhan University of Technology, 2013, 35(7): 63-68. (in Chinese))
    [28]
    文畅平. 属性综合评价系统在岩爆发生和烈度分级中的应用[J]. 工程力学, 2008, 25(6): 153-158.
    (WEN Chang-ping.Application of attribute synthetic evaluation system in prediction of possibility and classification of rockburst[J]. Engineering Mechanics, 2008, 25(6): 153-158. (in Chinese))
    [29]
    徐琛, 刘晓丽, 王恩志, 等. 基于组合权重—理想点法的应变型岩爆五因素预测分级[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2017, 39(12): 2245-2252.
    (XU Chen, LIU Xiao-li, WANG En-zhi, et al.Strain mode rockburst prediction and classification based on five-factors criterion and combined weight-ideal point method[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2017, 39(12): 2245-2252. (in Chinese))
    [30]
    张镜剑, 傅冰骏. 岩爆及其判据和防治[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2008, 27(10): 2034-2042.
    (ZHANG Jing-jian, FU Bing-jun.Rockburst and its criteria and control[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2008, 27(10): 2034-2042. (in Chinese))
  • Related Articles

    [1]ZHENG Qiteng, WU Shaojie, FENG Shijin, CHEN Hongxin, ZHAO Yong. A comprehensive evaluation method for landfill stabilization under aeration and its application[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2024, 46(4): 890-897. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20230025
    [2]XU Chen, LIU Xiao-li, WANG En-zhi, WANG Si-jing. Prediction and classification of strain mode rockburst based on five-factor criterion and combined weight-ideal point method[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2017, 39(12): 2245-2252. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201712013
    [3]JIA Zhe-qiang, ZHANG Ru, ZHANG Yan-fei, GAO Ming-zhong, LIU Qian-ying, LI An-qiang, XIE Jing. Integrated prediction for rockburst of underground powerhouse of Houziyan hydropower station[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2016, 38(z2): 110-116. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE2016S2018
    [4]LÜ Qing-feng, BU Si-min, WANG Sheng-xin, JIA Meng-xue. Application of comprehensive geophysical prospecting method in stability evaluation of landslide[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2015, 37(zk1): 142-147. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE2015S1028
    [5]Comprehensive geological prediction based on risk evaluation during tunneling in karst area[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2010, 32(7).
    [6]AN Guanfeng, GAO Junyue. Comprehensive analysis of deep foundation pits for underground space in Guangzhou[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2007, 29(6): 872-879.
    [7]LI Zongkun, JIANG Jingshan, WANG Guangyin. Comprehensive assessment of observed behavior of earth-rockfill dams[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2007, 29(2): 255-259.
    [8]ZHENG Mingxin, YIN Zongze, WU Jimin, DU Yufei, LUAN Yu. Post-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of effectiveness of landslide control[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2006, 28(10): 1224-1229.
    [9]WANG Yuqing, XIN Hongbo, GAO Yanping, ZHOU Genshou. Study on comprehensive index method for predicting earthquake-induced landslides[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2001, 23(3): 311-314.
    [10]Cheng Kang, Zhu Ruigeng, Zhu Wen hua. Design principle and Method of Comprehensive Control of Chamber Blast in Quarry for Rockfill Dam[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 1994, 16(5): 73-78.
  • Cited by

    Periodical cited type(38)

    1. 贺振祥,柯丽华,姚囝,张光权,王其虎,胡南燕,黄兆云. 岩爆预测的非对称变权云模型及应用. 中国矿业. 2025(01): 192-199 .
    2. 宗大超,吴凤建,李雪莉,赵永金,全永威. 基于云模型的既有隧道风险模糊综合评价模型. 公路. 2024(06): 370-375 .
    3. 金圆,岳中文,王毅,陈佳瑶,赵颖. 基于改进云模型的隧道爆破效果综合评价研究. 工程爆破. 2024(03): 8-19 .
    4. 李莉,倪波,强跃,吴恒滨,汪魁,赵东升. 基于改进云模型和线性规划优化算法的山区泥石流危险性评价. 重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版). 2024(07): 34-43 .
    5. 钱开龙,赵开伟,李明洁,张浩,杨八九. 基于多重判据的六苴矿区深部岩爆倾向性研究. 云南冶金. 2024(05): 28-35 .
    6. 仉文岗,梁文灏,覃长兵,吕刚,刘汉龙. 长大隧道建设与运营安全致灾风险评估综述. 铁道标准设计. 2023(02): 1-9 .
    7. 乔兰,董金水,刘建,陈璐. 我国地下金属矿山岩爆灾害发生机制及预测方法研究进展. 金属矿山. 2023(03): 14-28 .
    8. 郭文强,罗军尧. 基于BFGS-BP神经网络岩爆分类研究. 工业安全与环保. 2023(06): 7-10 .
    9. 郝英杰. 花脑特矿区基于变异系数-突变级数法的岩爆倾向性综合预测. 中国矿业. 2023(09): 145-150 .
    10. 祁菁. 基于组合赋权TOPSIS模型的建设项目水土保持绩效评价及障碍因子诊断. 水土保持研究. 2023(06): 458-467 .
    11. 张亭,赵晓凤,柴衡山. 基于动量梯度下降神经网络的岩爆预测方法. 江西冶金. 2023(05): 405-409 .
    12. 景杨凡,陈玉明,李岳峰,张海涛,杨荣森. 基于判别分析法的岩爆烈度预测研究. 有色金属(矿山部分). 2022(01): 97-102 .
    13. 胡建华,黄鹏莅,周坦,温观平,杨东杰. 岩爆倾向性的改进有限云评价模型与工程应用. 中国安全科学学报. 2022(02): 90-98 .
    14. 周英豪,王文杰,卢西洲,王康伟. 岩爆灾害博弈论组合赋权预测模型及应用. 中国安全科学学报. 2022(07): 105-112 .
    15. 向龙,林国进,唐协,王俊,李华明,方勇. 峨汉高速公路大峡谷隧道岩爆处治技术. 施工技术(中英文). 2022(15): 104-109 .
    16. 赵楠,赵荣珍. 面向不平衡数据的云模型旋转机械故障识别方法. 振动与冲击. 2022(22): 70-77 .
    17. 陈则黄,李克钢,李明亮,秦庆词,毛明发. 基于PCA-SOFM模型的岩爆烈度等级预测. 地下空间与工程学报. 2022(S2): 934-942+951 .
    18. 刘晓悦,杨伟,张雪梅. 基于权重融合的多维云模型岩爆预测研究. 中国矿业. 2021(01): 198-203 .
    19. 汪珂. 深埋隧道岩爆预测及防治技术现状综述. 隧道建设(中英文). 2021(02): 212-224 .
    20. 赵浩杨,石广斌,杨振宏,张雯. 基于组合赋权-改进集对分析的岩爆倾向性预测研究. 金属矿山. 2021(05): 71-77 .
    21. 王超,李岳峰,张成良. 基于不同指标无量纲化方法的岩爆预测模型优选. 中国安全生产科学技术. 2020(02): 24-29 .
    22. 高岭,李建朋,曹正波. 基于反分析赋权方法的岩爆预测云模型研究. 地震工程学报. 2020(02): 498-504 .
    23. 戚伟,李威,李振阳,赵国彦. 基于CRITIC-CW法的地下矿岩体质量评价. 黄金科学技术. 2020(02): 264-270 .
    24. 贺金凤,李义军,徐松杰,崔庆安. 基于云模型相似度的基本概率指派生成方法. 统计与决策. 2020(10): 51-54 .
    25. 田睿,孟海东,陈世江,王创业,石磊. RF-AHP-云模型下岩爆烈度分级预测模型. 中国安全科学学报. 2020(07): 166-172 .
    26. 谢学斌,李德玄,孔令燕,叶永飞,高山. 基于CRITIC-XGB算法的岩爆倾向等级预测模型. 岩石力学与工程学报. 2020(10): 1975-1982 .
    27. 田睿,孟海东. 基于Adam优化算法的深度神经网络岩爆预测模型. 矿业研究与开发. 2020(11): 40-46 .
    28. 田睿,孟海东,陈世江,王创业,张飞. 基于深度神经网络的岩爆烈度分级预测. 煤炭学报. 2020(S1): 191-201 .
    29. 田睿,孟海东,陈世江,王创业,孙德宁,石磊. 基于机器学习的3种岩爆烈度分级预测模型对比研究. 黄金科学技术. 2020(06): 920-929 .
    30. 王景春,林佳秀,张法. 基于ISM二维云模型的应急管理协同度研究. 中国安全生产科学技术. 2019(01): 38-44 .
    31. 王庆杰,岳春芳,李艺珍. 基于权重融合的灰色关联分析水资源配置方案评价研究. 中国农村水利水电. 2019(04): 31-34+38 .
    32. 艾祖斌,张晨曦,曾兆文,曹振生,孙永超. 长大深埋隧道未开挖段岩爆灾害风险评估. 中国安全生产科学技术. 2019(08): 168-173 .
    33. 黄建,夏元友,吝曼卿. 基于改进组合赋权的岩爆多维云模型预测研究. 中国安全科学学报. 2019(07): 26-32 .
    34. 刘国伟. 白龙山隧道地应力场数值模拟研究及岩爆预测. 中国矿业. 2019(S2): 465-468 .
    35. 吴顺川,张晨曦,成子桥. 基于PCA-PNN原理的岩爆烈度分级预测方法. 煤炭学报. 2019(09): 2767-2776 .
    36. 江新,李炜,胡文佳,陈瑶,郑霞忠. 基于SPA-云模型的水利工程运营风险态势评估. 中国农村水利水电. 2019(11): 145-150+160 .
    37. 代转,罗周全,秦亚光,文磊,丁春胜,董喆喆. 地下金属矿山广义安全管理模型构建及评价. 黄金科学技术. 2019(06): 920-930 .
    38. 关晓吉. 基于可拓联系云模型的隧道塌方风险等级评价方法. 中国安全生产科学技术. 2018(11): 186-192 .

    Other cited types(21)

Catalog

    Article views (308) PDF downloads (231) Cited by(59)
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return