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DU Xiu-li, ZHANG Xue-feng, ZHANG Ming-ju, HOU Ben-wei. Risk synthetic assessment for deep pit construction based on evidence theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2014, 36(1): 155-161. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201401015
Citation: DU Xiu-li, ZHANG Xue-feng, ZHANG Ming-ju, HOU Ben-wei. Risk synthetic assessment for deep pit construction based on evidence theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2014, 36(1): 155-161. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201401015

Risk synthetic assessment for deep pit construction based on evidence theory

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  • Received Date: June 06, 2013
  • Published Date: January 20, 2014
  • To consider different effects of risk factors on the risk assessment and to overcome the problem that qualitative evaluation information and expert remark under incomplete information cannot be utilized in the comprehensive risk evaluation for deep pit construction (DPC), a synthetic risk evaluation method for DPC is established based on the evidence theory. The index system of risk assessment for DPC is established on the basis of risk identification firstly. Then, the risk synthetic assessment model in the light of the evidence theory is proposed. In the assessment model, the weight of each stage factor is determined by using the analytic hierarchy process. The mass functions for calculating indexes are determined by expert remarks. The index mass functions are fused by the linear weighted method, and the decision rules are established based on the belief of the risk level. The proposed method is reasonable and practical, which is proved by an example, and it may provide reference for other similar projects.
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    暨中国土木工程学会隧道及地下工程分会第十八届年会
    (第1号通知)
    中国土木工程学会隧道及地下工程分会将于2014年10月底在浙江省杭州市召开2014中国隧道与地下工程大会暨中国土木工程学会隧道及地下工程分会第十八届年会。本次年会将围绕“现代城市地下空间的综合利用及绿色隧道工程”主题,通过“现代城市地下空间开发的先进理念与设计”、“隧道及城市地下工程的先进修建技术”、“隧道及城市地下工程的防灾、减灾和环保、节能技术”等3个分主题进行研讨。本次年会收录的论文将正式出版发行。欢迎业内科技工作者踊跃投稿并积极参加会议。
    主办单位:中国土木工程学会隧道及地下工程分会
    承办单位:浙江大学城市学院;杭州市建设委员会;协办单位:待定。
    会议主题:现代城市地下空间的综合利用及绿色隧道工程。
    分组报告与讨论主题:①现代城市地下空间开发的先进理念与设计;②现代城市地下空间开发利用的国际新动态;③现代城市地下空间的规划、设计与研究;④现代城市地下空间开发利用的可持续发展研究;⑤现代城市地下工程低碳节能与环保。
    隧道及城市地下工程的先进修建技术:①城市轨道交通工程修建技术;②越江及海底隧道工程修建技术;③复杂山岭隧道工程修建技术;④城市地下空间施工技术;⑤隧道及地下工程的新技术、新设备、新材料、新工艺。
    隧道及城市地下工程的防灾、减灾和环保、节能技术:①隧道及地下工程全寿命周期风险管理;②隧道及地下工程施工对周边环境影响及控制;③隧道及地下工程监控量测及超前预报;④隧道及地下工程健康监测与耐久性;⑤隧道及地下工程病害检测与修复技术;⑥隧道及地下工程节能减耗新技术。
    论文征集:论文应围绕会议议题展开,要求内容具体、明确、严谨,且未公开发表。会议挑选部分优秀论文在《现代隧道技术》(EI刊源)正刊出版,其余将以《现代隧道技术》增刊形式出版,论文格式与要求参见《现代隧道技术》投稿指南。
    重要日期:论文提交2014年4月30日,论文录用通知 2014年7月31日,(上述日期均为最后截止日期)。
    联系人:魏 纲,张 菁;电话:0571-88018805,0571-88284399;e-mail: tuwb2014@126.com;网址:http://www.cces-tuwb.com/index.asp,通讯地址:浙江省杭州市拱墅区湖州街51号,理2-315,邮编:310015。
    (大会组委会 供 稿)
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