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曾正强, 蔡永昌, 吴江斌. 基于局部耦合马尔科夫链模型的钻孔优化方法[J]. 岩土工程学报. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20230927
引用本文: 曾正强, 蔡永昌, 吴江斌. 基于局部耦合马尔科夫链模型的钻孔优化方法[J]. 岩土工程学报. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20230927
Drill Optimization Method utilizing the Local Coupled Markov Chain Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20230927
Citation: Drill Optimization Method utilizing the Local Coupled Markov Chain Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20230927

基于局部耦合马尔科夫链模型的钻孔优化方法

Drill Optimization Method utilizing the Local Coupled Markov Chain Model

  • 摘要: 如何合理利用稀疏勘查资料进行准确的地质建模和逐级优化钻孔方案,对于降低勘查成本和提高地层数据收集效率具有十分重要的意义。本文提出了一种基于局部耦合马尔科夫链模型(Local coupled Markov chain model,简称LCMC模型)进行额外钻孔优化的方法。该方法利用地质剖面钻孔数据的片段化处理、局部随机建模和多片段叠加的方式建立适应复杂变化地层的地质模型;使用基于LCMC模型生成的信息熵图定量评价地质单元的不确定性;基于柱平均信息熵曲线对额外钻孔的最佳位置进行逐步预测。研究结果表明,相比于传统方法,提出的方法可以实现更加合理高效的钻孔优化,增加倾角和方向发生变化的复杂地层的建模准确性,以及降低其地质剖面模拟的不确定性。

     

    Abstract: How to effectively utilize sparse exploration data to accurately build geological models and optimize drilling plans step by step is of great significance in reducing exploration costs and improving the efficiency of collecting formation data. This article proposes an additional drilling optimization method based on the local coupled Markov chain (LCMC) model. This method establishes a geological model that adapts to complex and varying formations through fragmentary processing, local random modeling, and superposition of multiple fragments based on the drilling data of geological profiles, evaluates. The uncertainty of geological units is quantitatively evaluated using an entropy map generated by the LCMC model, and the optimal locations for additional drilling are predicted step by step based on the column average entropy curve. Research results show that compared to traditional methods, the proposed approach can achieve more rational and efficient drilling optimization, increase the accuracy of modeling complex formations with directional and inclination changes, and reduce the uncertainty of geological profiles.

     

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